The possibility of the dead also : in Touhoku University and Mr. Osudani/"A domestic large-scale infection enlargement is certain" high risk patient of a new full Dipterocarpus tuberculatus.

| コメント(0) | トラックバック(0)
It reported on "Situation in each country of a new influenza by influenza A (H1N1) and difficulty of Japan" and the title Shite emergencies in the 49th Japanese respiratory apparatus society science lecture meeting held in Tokyo on the 13th, and Osudani Genshi in the Touhoku University graduate school medicine system research course microbiology field was declared to be "A large-scale infection enlargement happens surely domestically within half a year". Moreover, the infection to the asthmatic patient and the pregnant woman introduces the perception that it is likely to make it to the severely ill. It was specified that the possibility that the patient who held the risk factor dies by the stable fraction was high with the widespread infection.

Risk possession such as bronchial asthmas to 80 percent of inpatient

Mr. Osudani is a clarification lingua from the latest data of the New York City, U.S. as for features of this influenza. The number of inpatients at the time of, June 12 is 567 people, and 226 people are increased compared with June 2. The dead increased by nine people and became 16 people. It was 21% of the entire inpatient that needed caring with ICU, and the patient for whom mechanical ventilation (respirator) was necessary also had reached 10%.

The number of inpatients increases from 100 person data of ten Hikuma by 219 people when the group of especially 25-64 years old is seen. The dead swelled up to ten people along with it, too. The inpatient explained and Mr. Osudani explained, "It is not only necessarily a young layer that made to the severely ill" from the increasing calositas and the so on drastic also in the layer of 0-4 years old and 65 years old or more.

Moreover, 80% of the inpatient has the bronchial asthma, the pregnancy, and 2 years old or less and risk factors such as the sugar diabeteses, and it reports on the data assumed that 12 examples of all death cases were 65 years old or less. The patient with an obesity suggested that there be a possibility of entering the high‐risk group.

Mr. Osudani guesses that most of the example of the deterioration into serious illness is a virus pneumonia based on information from the WHO affiliate further. It was described, "It is ..control of the virus replication.. basic not to be made at all" ..based on the airway of the treated all example in pathologic autopsies having been filled with the virus in New York for the reason for the deterioration into serious illness.. ..certain...

The doubt in the effect in the example of the anti-Dipterocarpus tuberculatus full medicine deterioration into serious illness.

Mr. Osudani showed the perception with "The infection enlargement continued obviously, and it was gradually clarified now" about the new influenza that was able to be put within the country. It was enumerated that the multitude was confirmed to the example (example that was not specified the source of infection) without the epidemiology link as the rationale, and stressed, "It should be thought that it was signs that the infection had extended naturally in the community that the person who did not understand the source of infection had gone out".

If the infection expands to the pregnant woman etc. in the community, the patient who makes it to the severely ill at a constant rate appears, and the situation in which the death case comes out, too is show also in the country based on such a situation as for the view of not being avoided. It was described, "This was high and the possibility of would occur in the future was high also in Japan".

Moreover, it introduced the estimate that the dead who exceeded 120,000 people if the morbidity to the new influenza assumed by the action planning in the country was 25% of the population (about 32 million people), and the lethality went up up to 0.4% went out. Usually..seasonality..influenza..the same degree of..lethality..dead..a lot..child..in one's fifties..adult..occupy..situation..become..social..impact..at all..differ..shape..go out..foresee.

The anti‐influenza agent treatment to the example of the deterioration into serious illness is made remarks, "Even if full Tami and Rirenza are handled to the case to which the virus pneumonia is caused and the breeding of the virus is not suppressed at all, it doesn't seem to be effective". It was assumed that the countermeasure that controlled the virus replication at the early stage became future tasks.

Is the second wave domestically in October?

Besides this, the assertion of the anxiety in a domestic health care system to accept the example of the deterioration into serious illness. It was appealed, "What does such a patient do the multiple lingua situation in the current health care system that there was a region without ICU at all either?"When the considerable confusion is caused in the medical institution at the stage of the morbidity 5%, it is Iu also even in New York assumed that the countermeasure to a new influenza is the most advanced in the world according to Mr. Osudani.

As for the declaration of threat level "Phase 6" by WHO, Mr. Osudani is "There is a possibility that the influenza virus extends all over the world on a large scale and very big damage happens" and a clarification. To alert the world strongly when the new model was different from the seasonality influenza, WHO showed knowledge of having determined the declaration.

It explained that the purpose was to judge that the lethality due to new influenza fell under between 2% at a Spanish influenza from about 0.1% at the seasonality influenza for WHO's having expressed present bread Demick, "Moderate".

Posture in which it gazed the southern hemisphere of the situation in which the infection had expanded where it was assumed, "Our being looking now did not experience ..So help me.. very much in initial bread Demick at a real influenza season where in the on earth", and received the winter of the future worldwide was shown.

Especially, if knowledge that the infection has spread rapidly in Australia is shown, and it rushes into bread Demick at a dash as it is, the perception that it may expand to Southeast Asia is announced. It was assumed, "Then, infected person's influx was not stopped to Japan at all", and, according to circumstances, assumed the idea that the possibility of receiving "The second wave" of a domestic fashion in ten - November was enough.

 


Japan is good country!
http://japan-power.net/
PLEASE come here!

トラックバック(0)

トラックバックURL: http://www.japan-power.net/mt/mt-tb.cgi/1306

コメントする

カテゴリ

ウェブページ

Powered by Movable Type 4.23-ja