A new influenza in the waterside countermeasure that is not the effect.

A new influenza: No effect in the waterside countermeasure. --Japanese researcher as big as Netherlands Utrecht

 - The infected person 70 percent invades.

To prevent the infected person's invasion by quarantine at the new influenza accrual, researcher Hiroshi Nishiura as big as Netherlands Utrecht brought analysis of "Waterside countermeasure" executed in Japan with "There is little effect" together. It seems to be able to be said that flexible correspondence according to the toxicity of the virus is important. It announces to the issue (Iwanami Shoten) in September of monthly publication "Science" shortly put on the market.

It is assumed that the infected person enters into Japan taking the aircraft for 12 hours in analysis, and the analysis lingua of infected person's invasion probability and fashion time of emergence by the inspection of entering a country.

As a result, the infected person who can detect about 60 percent of * all infected persons during 1.4 days on the average with attack simple * diagnostic kit is 6-70 percent at the incubation period. --Condition..infected person..invasion..prevent.

Moreover, when the influence that the waterside countermeasure gave at domestic fashion start time was estimated to the little first stage of the fashion the total of the infected person in which it entered a country was 10-60 people, the delay at the start time stayed in less than half a day.

Japanese Government..April..the end of..foreign countries..fashion..start..inside..quarantine..infected person..same..inside..near..attendant passengers..temporary..stop..implementation..lingua.The herd infection of the high school student who doesn't have the making a passage experience is affirmed in the Kinki region in the middle of in May the government assumes, "It was possible ..domestic accrual.. to buy time" though the waterside countermeasure was discontinued.

Mr./Ms. Nishiura｢There is little meaning that executes a present waterside countermeasure in case of the toxicity of a present new influenza. However, when a toxic influenza comes to go around, it is worth discussing the stopping countermeasure and the making a passage restriction intended for those who enter a country all. ｣It speaks. 

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